Friday Forecast, January 31

Friday, January 31	Mostly cloudy with occasional light snow in the afternoon and evening with an inch or less accumulation by Saturday morning. High 33
At Night	Breezy with light snow. Low 26
Saturday, February 1	Cloudy with snow changing to rain during the day. There could be a period of freezing rain during the changeover. The rain will then change back to snow overnight. New snow accumulations will be light. High 42
Sunday, February 2	A mix of clouds and sun and a bit colder. High 30
Monday, February 3	Partly sunny. High 23

Thursday Forecast, January 30

Thursday, January 30	Mostly sunny, breezy, and warmer, but with some clouds later in the day. High 28
At Night	Breezy with light snow accumulating around an inch or less by morning. Low 23
Friday, January 31	Mostly cloudy with light snow with an inch or so accumulation. High 34
Saturday, February 1	Cloudy with snow mixing with rain during the day. New snow accumulations 2-4 inches by Sunday morning. High 41
Sunday, February 2	A mix of clouds and sun and a bit colder. High 27

Saturday: Snow? Rain? Mix?

One thing about the cold weather was that it was easy to predict. Now that the cold is moving on and snow systems are moving in, we will be getting into a messy period of trying to figure out what's going to happen.

Take for example this Saturday. After a couple days in the 30s, colder air is going to push back into northern Ohio. A storm system will move over Ohio during the weekend and produce snow? How much? Well that depends upon exactly where the system goes. Below are two different forecast models. While both show snow during the morning, the NAM shows rain over NE Ohio on Saturday afternoon. The GFS model shows snow continuing. Yeah...that's the problem. No rain = more snow. Rain = less snow. Right now I'm leaning more toward the mix...snow in the morning and later in the day with a period of rain in the middle. That may change, so keep checking back.

GFS model shows SNOW over the area at 1pm Saturday

The NAM shows RAIN over the area at 1pm Saturday

You are already hearing talk about a possible snow storm the middle of next week. That's a good possibility as well. Similar to this weekend's storm is the uncertainty of the exact track of the system. Not so uncertain at this time is the fact that it will be snow instead of a mix of snow and rain. The question for next week's storm is just how much snow is going to fall across NE Ohio. We'll know more when we get a bit closer. 

Like I said, the cold temperatures were a whole lot easier to predict.

Enjoy the sun and "warm".

Wednesday Forecast, January 29

FINALLY!  A warmup begins today.  Granted, a +14 isn't exactly a heat wave, but with the sunshine out there, I think this is going to be fine day. Enjoy!

Wednesday, January 29	Lots of sun, but still cold. Breezy. High 14
At Night	Mainly clear, but not as cold. Low +6
Thursday, January 30	Mostly sunny, breezy, and warmer, but with some clouds later in the day and a bit of light snow overnight. Morning wind chills around -5 to -10, but then rapidly warming. High 27
Friday, January 31	Mostly cloudy with occasional snow showers. High 31
Saturday, February 1	Cloudy with snow mixing with rain at times during the day. New snow accumulations 1-3 inches by Sunday morning. High 37

Frigid air to be replaced by snow

The frigid Arctic air that has been hanging over Ohio for much of January will soon be moving on. However, one ugly phase of winter will be replaced by another.

As the cold air moves out and milder and more closer-to-normal air moves in, the southern part of the U.S. is going to warm up as well. As we move through the first part of February, it looks like it's going to be a stormy period. The warm, moist air from the south will push northward over the cold air still in place over the Great Lakes. That's going to cause snow...and perhaps a lot of it. We could see some major snowstorms move through the Ohio Valley during the first few weeks of February.

We must have really angered Zeus. Sorry 'bout that, big guy.  :-)

Tuesday Forecast, January 28

Temperatures today will barely get above freezing and wind chills won't be anywhere close to ZERO. Tonight will be just like this past overnight. Temperatures will drop to near or into the minus double digits and wind chills again will be in the -20s. On Wednesday afternoon we turn the corner and a warm-up begins.

Tuesday, January 28	Mostly sunny and continued extremely cold. High around +3 Daytime wind chill values -10 to -20
At Night	Mainly clear and frigid Morning LOW -10 to -15; wind chill values -25 to -30
Wednesday, January 29	Lots of sun, but still cold. High 13
Thursday, January 30	Mostly sunny and warmer, but with some clouds later in the day. Morning wind chills around -10, but then rapidly warming. High 27
Friday, January 31	Mostly cloudy High 28

Monday Forecast, January 27

Here we go! Everything is right on track. At this hour (5am) western Ohio already has wind chills in the -10 to -15 range with actual air temperatures in the teens. It's coming!

However, if you want to feel better, just look at the Thursday morning forecast. The end is in sight. :-)

Wind Chill ADVISORY today!

Wind Chill WARNING tonight through Wednesday morning!

Monday, January 27	Cloudy, breezy, and turning sharply colder during the day with flurries and snow showers. Temperatures falling to below ZERO in the evening with wind chill values dropping to -20.
At Night	Mostly cloudy, windy, and cold. Morning LOW -10; wind chill values -25 to -30
Tuesday, January 28	Some clouds in the morning with afternoon sun and continued very cold. High around ZERO Daytime wind chill values -15 to -25
Wednesday, January 29	Lots of sun, but still cold. Morning LOW -10 to -12; wind chill values -25 High 11
Thursday, January 30	Mostly cloudy and warmer. High 27

Sunday Night Update

Cold air still heading this way and will arrive overnight and during the day tomorrow.

Happy anniversary to the Great Blizzard of 1978!

As we await the arrival of the coldest air mass of the winter this week, let it be noted that late January has often been cruel to Ohio.

Today is the anniversary of the worst blizzard in Ohio history. It began in the early morning of Thursday, January 26th. The storm blew up from the gulf and resulted in the lowest air pressure in the history of NE Ohio. Winds across the state topped 100mph. 75mph was the peak gust at Akron/Canton. Wind chills across the state reached -60. A total of 51 died in the storm.

On another note, this Tuesday (January 28th) will be the anniversary of the blizzard of 1977.

The good news is that we will get out of this mess as we head into February.

Sunday Forecast, January 26 ... Another Arctic Blast!

I will update things in more detail later today.

Another Arctic blast arrives tonight and stays through Wednesday!

Sunday, January 26	Cloudy and breezy with morning flurries and snow showers followed by snow in the afternoon and evening. High 27
At Night	Windy with snow accumulating an inch or two by morning. Low 11
Monday, January 27	Cloudy, breezy, and turning colder with flurries and snow showers. Morning LOW +11 wind chill values -5 to -10 An early morning high of 11 then falling to below ZERO in the evening.
Tuesday, January 28	Lots of clouds in the morning with some afternoon sun and continued very cold. Morning LOW -10 to -15; wind chill values -25 to -30 High around ZERO [Record LOW -13 in 1977]
Wednesday, January 29	Lots of sun, but still cold. Morning LOW -10 to -15; wind chill values again -25 to -30 High 10 [Record LOW -13 in 1977]

Saturday Forecast, January 25

Warmer weather is coming...but, not for another week.  This coming week will feature another Arctic plunge. Woo hoo!  (This is getting old...lol)

Saturday, January 25	Cloudy and windy with snow continuing into midday followed by snow showers in the afternoon and evening. New snow today 2-3. High 23
At Night	Windy with snow showers and blowing snow. Low -1 Morning wind chill values -15 to -20
Sunday, January 26	Cloudy and breezy with morning flurries and snow showers followed by snow in the afternoon and overnight accumulating another 1-3 inches by Monday morning. High 22
Monday, January 27	Cloudy, breezy, and very cold with flurries and snow showers. Morning LOW +10 wind chill values around -10 High 13
Tuesday, January 28	Mostly cloudy and continued very cold. Morning LOW -10 wind chill values -25 to -30 High around ZERO
Wednesday, January 29	Lots of sun, but still cold. Morning LOW -10 wind chill values again -25 to -30 High 7

Friday Forecast, January 24

WIND CHILL ADVISORY UNTIL 1pm FRIDAY!

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY OF WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY!

Friday, January 24	A mix of clouds and sun. Windy. High 15
At Night	Windy with snow and blowing snow. Low 13
Saturday, January 25	Cloudy and breezy with snow continuing into midday followed by snow showers. Total new snow 3-5 inches by evening. High 23
Sunday, January 26	Cloudy and breezy with morning flurries and snow showers followed by snow in the afternoon and overnight accumulating another 2-4 inches by Monday morning. High 22
Monday, January 27	Cloudy, breezy, and very cold with flurries and snow showers. High 12

WEATHER ALERT:  Another surge of Arctic air will drop over northern Ohio early next week with actual morning air temperatures on Tuesday and Wednesday around -10 and wind chills in the -25 to-30 range.